It’s no doubt that Republicans would love to win tomorrow’s special election to fill Teddy Kennedy’s Senate seat in Massachusetts. But let’s be honest, Republican’s are playing with house money.
Democrats are defending what is arguably their most loyal base. This seat has been a Democratic seat for 46 years. My mom was in second grade when Ted Kennedy won this seat. To put that into perspective, my mom now has a 6 year old grandson (And she looks wonderful by the way).
So why is more important that the Dems win this seat?
1. It’s Massachusetts. It’s one of the most liberal states in the country. This should be a slam dunk for Democrats.
2. It’s Teddy’s seat. With the emotional pull of keeping this seat for the “Lion of the Senate,” the polls shouldn’t even be close.
3. Obama won huge a little over a year ago and was the second coming. He’s campaigning there.
4. Bill Clinton, the most popular Democratic President in my generation has campaigned there.
5. The Republican, State Senator Scott Brown, has made it clear that he’s against ObamaCare and has also made several very conservative stands. Again, it’s Massachusetts, not Alabama, so that should make it real easy for Democrats.
Having said all of that, the polls are trending towards Brown. A defeat in Massachusetts going into mid-term elections in November could be a major momentum boost to Republicans.
A Republican victory tomorrow night would tell us some very important things.
1. What is says about Obama. Obama took McCain to the woodshed in November 2008. In Massachusetts the vote wasn’t even close. Obama had almost 1.9 million votes and beat McCain by roughly 800,000 votes. So I don’t care what the Obama folks would have you believe, this vote is completely about the direction Obama has taken this country since taking office almost a year ago.
2. What it says about Democrats. Remember, just 4 years ago, pundits and politicians across the country were declaring the GOP dead when they virtually lost everything in the 2006 mid-terms. This vote isn’t about how strong the GOP is now. Republicans haven’t rebounded. They still don’t have a leader. They don’t have the Newt Gingrich of 1994. They are still searching for their voice. In spite of all that, the Democrats still have to defend one of their most reliable bases.
3. Obama is even pulling Bill Clinton's popularity down.
Tomorrow is going to be an interesting night for Democrats. They should win this race, but polling is not trending in their favor. If this race goes to the GOP, which CNN is reporting the White House believes it will, it says much more about the Democrats than it does the Republicans.
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